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Porsche and Ferrari: A Strategic Convergence in Luxury Automotive

By Morgan Housel

This analysis proposes a long-term pair trade: long Porsche (DRPRY) and short Ferrari (RACE), anticipating a P911/RACE ratio expansion from approximately 0.14 to 0.17 (+25%) over 18 months. Concurrently, a short-term long position in Ferrari is recommended, driven by the anticipated impact of the "Luce" model. The strategy hinges on Ferrari's potential re-rating due to slowing price increases and upcoming strategic announcements, while Porsche's re-rating is expected from its shift to a "Value over Volume" strategy under CEO Michael Leiters, mirroring Ferrari's exclusivity model and adjusting its EV targets.

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